Intraday dax YM eurusd JUILLET AOUT 2019

[mobydick]

Sur MiniDax le haut du canal descendant en UT4H est sur 12 400 grosso merdo pour aujourd'hui

je me mords un peu les lucioles car j'ai hésité à me la jouer façon netjoker hier soir en plaçant un ordre de vente sur le VPOC du 17/07 sur YM / 27 339 .... mais pas réussi à briser mon blocage psychologique de mettre ce genre d'ordre pendant que je dors ...

Ceci dit, cela aurait été un coup de bol mais la chance fait partie des qualités d'un bon tradeur

Mais la pensée qui me travaille est que Dalton a pondu le MP en observant les marchés US donc si il doit "fonctionner" c'est mieux là qu'ailleurs ...

[mobydick]

short pivot 12311, forcement cela se tente, vu l'heure be serré avec petit stop
perso, après normalement, tous les retracements à la baisse je prends des longs

Open prévu > R1 pour le moment ( 299 au moment ou je tape ça ) donc retracement sur M3 / 267 voir VAH / 262 ( un classique ) ?

Wait and see ...

[mobydick]

Pour le moment le PB de la semaine dernière fait résistance ( 12 292 )

Si il pète on devrait avoir droit à une fusée haussière

Ceci dit je verrai bien les algos nettoyer à la baisse pour justement mettre une balle dans la tête à cette stratégie avant de faire un reverse de la mort qui tue et finir en beauté la semaine > 400.

Amplitude semaine pour le moment : 273 ce qui est faible dans l'absolu mais en ligne sur les dernières semaines

[chipeur]

happy trading et merci pat pour le MP

[chipeur]

[mobydick]

Et pendant ce temps de l'autre coté de la Manche :

Why there will be No Deal, in One Chart - Take Two

Much excitement as the government loses a procedural Brexit vote by more than a wafer thin margin. The next round of the Grieve Amendment, this time a cross-party Benn/Burt Amendment, was passed by a margin of 41 votes. A government minister, Margot James, resigned in order to vote in favour. A number of Cabinet ministers abstained, including Spreadsheet Phil Hammond, who even felt moved to get a little lively by explaining his rationale on Twitter.

We are not excited.

1. The passage of the amendment doesn't stop No Deal.
   • There are only two ways to do that: pass a Deal, or Revoke Article 50.
2. It doesn't even stop the proroguing of Parliament. That power lies with the executive.
   • It can make it much more difficult, but constitutionally it doesn't explicitly prevent it (as even the Amendment author Alistair Burt admitted to Sky News' Beth Rigby in the aftermath).
3. It doesn't mean the new PM won't have any authority.
   • Of the big beast abstainers, all will be on their way out under Boris anyway.
   • This was an easy moment to defy the whip. (As if a whip makes any sense with a caretaker leader!) It has little consequence, it's just before recess, and there's no need for loyalty when you don't agree with the new leader

The Anti-No Dealers know that there isn't much aside from persuasion that can stop No Deal. Hence resorting to this kind of arcane procedural matter. News is even swirling that the Queen could be deployed to the European Council summit to ask for an extension if PM Boris won't. This scale of desperation indicates quite how difficult it would be to avoid No Deal if the executive chose that path.

Now, Boris might not want to choose that path. But he does know that failing to deliver Brexit on time has already cost the Conservative Party over a third of its support (dropping from 42% of votes in the 2017 Election to ~25% now). Somehow, he has to get it done. It should be no surprise that all mechanisms to deliver that result therefore need to remain available to him.

But the real reason we fail to get excited is because of two charts. As regular subscribers know, we ranked all MPs using 23 independent criteria to give them a Brexit rating, from -15 for the most pro-Remain to +15 for the most pro-Leave.

• Yesterday we looked at how Labour and Conservative MPs voted on the Benn/Burt Amendment, scaled from left to right on their Brexit rating:

• Compare that to our note on "Why there will be No Deal, in One Chart" from September 2018

Spot the difference?

No, there really isn't one.

The Conservative MPs who rebelled to back today's amendment were almost all already on the Remainer side of the fence. In fact, given the lack of penalty for no loyalty today, you might argue that more Conservative MPs could have rebelled.

The truth is that we still have the same situation as we ever did. We stand by the conclusion we reached when we first ran this analysis last September:



Parliament is unable to agree; we are about to get a new PM; and so it's just the crisis that we are waiting for.

[chipeur]

shorté avant l open..avantage des cfd

un bjr aux abrutis !! ils vont se reconnaitre

[mobydick]

amusant ...

[mobydick]

C'est quoi le PHN sur Dax chez vous ?

[the trader]

c'est quoi PHN ?

[mobydick]

c'est quoi PHN ?

PHN : Plus Haut de la Nuit pour les CFD qui cotent 24/24 ( et sur l'YM qui cote 23/24 )

[chipeur]

+2 stoppé

quelle santé !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[chipeur]

C'est quoi le PHN sur Dax chez vous ?

318

[mobydick]

sur YM les haussiers doivent casser cette poutrelle descendante ...

[the trader]

le cfd de fxcm cote pas la nuit . open a 7h et close 22h